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Country Economic Forecasts > Azerbaijan

  • June 2017
  • 8 pages
  • Oxford Economics
Report ID: 1907509

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A rebound in non-oil output in H1 and the prospect of oil prices exceeding the budgeted level despite the recent slide have kept the economy on course for a return to modest growth of about 1.5% this year and gradual acceleration to 2.6% in 2018 and about 3% in 2019-20. The pace of recovery will be held down by high inflation (13.8% in May), bank problems (after a default by the largest, IBA) and budget strains. But activity will be underpinned by renewed energy export growth as new gas comes onstream in 2018, alongside service and manufacturing expansion as new trade routes open.

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