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Future of the Libyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

  • June 2017
  • 84 pages
  • Strategic Defence Intelligence (SDI)
Report ID: 2065688

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Future of the Libyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

Summary

Libyan defense industry, valued at US$2.7 Billion in 2017, is anticipated to record a CAGR of 4.88% over the forecast period, to reach US$3.3 Billion by 2022. Libya is focusing on reconstructing and strengthening its security forces after the 2011 revolution, during which the people successfully overthrew one of the longest dictatorial regimes which spanned over four decades. This has resulted in a substantial increase initially in the military expenditure of the country.

Libya’s domestic defense manufacturing capabilities are still underdeveloped, so the country has to rely mainly on foreign imports. Historically, Russia was the primary supplier of defense equipment to Libya during the Gaddafi government and is further increasing efforts to restore its military ties with the new Libyan government. The country lacks the basic required infrastructure, discouraging any foreign manufacturer from entering the market to establish a military base or joint venture project.

Furthermore, the lack of skilled labor followed by the war and volatile internal security situations could dilute the interest of foreign investors willing to invest in Libya.
One of the major security challenges Libya faces is its 2000km Mediterranean coastline and threats from six African neighboring countries along with organized crime prevalent in the border region. The porousness of Libya’s border and its susceptibility to smuggling along, with the circulation of criminals, led to high spending on the country’s homeland security (HLS). However, current instability in the country due to the absence of a central authority, heavily armed populace, stalled disarmament, civil concerns such as domestic violence, terrorism, illegal immigration, cross-border smuggling, weapons proliferation, kidnappings, assassinations, and bombings, has increased, fuelling expenditure on HLS activities over the forecast period.

In February 2011, the UN Security Council (UNSC) imposed an arms embargo relating to the supply of arms and military equipment to and from Libya in response to the use of weapons by Gaddafi’s military forces on civilian protestors. However, in March 2013, a UN resolution lifted the restriction on the procurement of non-lethal military equipment for humanitarian protective use, and the provision of technical and financial assistance, and training to the Libyan government.

The report “Future of the Libyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022” offers detailed analysis of Libya defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
- Libya defense industry market size and drivers: Detailed analysis of Libya defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns.
- Budget allocation and key challenges: Insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country.
- Porter’s Five Force analysis of Libya defense industry: Analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry.
- Import and Export Dynamics: Analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years.
- Market opportunities: Details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: Analysis of the competitive landscape of Libya defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Companies mentioned in this report: Lockheed Martin, Finmeccanica and KBP Instrument Design Bureau.

Scope

- The Libyan defense industry, valued at US$2.7 billion in 2017, is anticipated to record a CAGR of 4.88% over the forecast period, to reach US$3.3 billion by 2022. Libya is focusing on reconstructing and strengthening its security forces after the 2011 revolution, during which the people successfully overthrew one of the longest dictatorial regimes which spanned over four decades. This has resulted in a substantial increase initially in the military expenditure of the country.
- During 2013-2017, revenue expenditure accounted for an average of 82.5% of the total Libyan defense expenditure, and the remaining 17.5% was spent on procuring equipment and services. The implementation of budget cuts and reform measures, such as the suspension of new procurement programs resulted in low defense spending over the historic period. The Libyan MoD is trying to procure multi-role and fighter aircraft transport aircraft helicopters, armored vehicles, transport aircraft, battle tanks, radar and imaging systems, and other advanced equipment, which will result in a significant rise in its defense capital expenditure during 2018-2022.
- The MoD is expected to invest in transport helicopters, personel weapons, and soft body armor.

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of Libyan defense industry market trends for the coming five years
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
- A deep qualitative analysis of Libya defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

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