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Retail Construction and Refurbishment Market Report - UK 2015-2019 Analysis 

  • November 2015
  • 89 pages
  • AMA Research
Report ID: 3516923

Summary

Table of Contents

AMA Research have published the 4th edition of the 'Retail Construction and Refurbishment Market Report – UK 2015-2019 Analysis'. The report focuses on key trends, challenges and opportunities facing the retail industry, which should be of particular interest to retailers, supply chains and construction professionals involved in the commercial retail sector.

Key issues covered:

Current and future strategies of major grocery groups - current and projected store portfolios.
Analysis of the non-food multiples and major department store chains, together with current and projected store portfolios.
Detailed assessment of retail new build construction output and RMI and shopfitting, together with opportunities and forecasts for growth over the next few years.
Construction supply in the retail sector - key construction companies, contractors and shopfitters, contractor profiles; leading developers and current property portfolios and development plans.

Key areas of insight include:

Key drivers of change in the retail sector - including areas such as convenience and online – key areas of opportunity for contractors.
Rise in online shopping and changes of strategy of major supermarkets/discounters – impact on retail construction, with lower value contracts now a key feature of the market.
Era of the "space race" to open large supermarkets has now come to an end – focus now on convenience stores and infrastructure to support online services.
Trend among retailers to make the most of existing stores through refurbishment and refreshing existing portfolios rather than adding new space.
Analysis of key issues affecting the retail sector including the planning system and change of use legislation as they affect retail development; growing importance of sustainability, and growth of smart-phone and application technology.

Some of the companies included:

BAM Construction, Bowmer & Kirkland, Havelock Europa, Interior Services Group plc (ISG), Kier, Mace, McLaren Group, McLaughlin & Harvey, Midas Group, Morris and Spottiswood, Simons Group, Styles & Wood, Vinci, Wates Group.

Key areas covered in the report include:

RETAIL MARKET IN THE UK
Market overview and size - Retail sales and consumer spending, impact of economy on the retail market.
Grocery market – Overview, structure and size - leading supermarket chains and superstores market shares, convenience, discount, online –sector size 2014/15, forecasts 2019/20 etc.
Non-Food retail market – Overview, structure and size - leading non-food retailers, chains and department stores.
Out of town warehousing & retail parks.
Retail warehouse development Pipeline (Million sq. ft) 2008 – 2015.
RETAIL CONSTRUCTION & REFURBISHMENT IN THE UK

Construction output in retail sector – outlook up to 2019.
Shopfitting market in the UK – market size 2009-15, recent trends, forecasts 2015-2019.
Building Programmes in the retail sector – share by sector – shopping centres, retail parks, supermarkets 2008-15 (M. sq.ft). Retail space under construction in key sectors
Building Programmes & Expansion Plans of the major Supermarkets, Discounters – range of schemes, scale of roll-out programmes, Capex, New Store Portfolios, framework contractors etc.
Building Programmes & Expansion Plans of Non-Food Retailers – key players – New Store Portfolios, market opportunities etc.
Shopping Centre Development – Development Pipeline 2015 (m sq. ft.) – New Space and Remodelled Space, Space proposed, consented and under construction.
Major shopping centre schemes – project, size, capital values, developers, completion dates
Retail-Led Regeneration & Mixed-use Development – Top Retail-led Regeneration Schemes in the UK – Capital Value, Size, Main Developer, Completion Date.
FACTORS AFFECTING RETAIL CONSTRUCTION

Planning Developments, Sustainable Construction in the Retail Sector.
Analysis of PPS4. National Planning Policy Framework, Change of Use Legislation.
Review of the Portas and Grimsey Reviews of the high street.
The ‘Big Four’ Supermarkets – Land and Planning Issues.
Online Retailing - Online Sales for Leading Multi-Channel Retailers 2014 - impact on space requirements in the medium term, key sectors affected etc.
CONSTRUCTION SUPPLY IN THE RETAIL SECTOR

Key Construction Companies, Contractors and Shopfitters in the Retail Sector - top UK Retail Contractors by Turnover and Key Retail Clients 2014/15.
Contractor Profiles – BAM, Barr Construction, Bowmer & Kirkland, Interserve, ISG, Kier, Mace, McLaren Construction, Midas, Simons, Styles & Wood, VINCI and Wates Retail.
Major Shopfitting Companies – Leading 20 - turnover and Key Clients.
Impact of changing retail strategies on future workloads and contracts.
Leading Developers, Investors in the Retail Sector - current property portfolios 2015, Major Projects, Future Investments and Development Plans.Total UK retail sales have been boosted by an increase in online sales in recent years and the industry has performed strongly to date in 2015, with food sales generally buoyant. In addition, returning consumer confidence has underpinned increasing big ticket, non-essential purchases. Retail construction output saw a return to growth in 2013 driven by a slight uplift in consumer confidence, followed by a 2% increase in 2014 as positive factors such as low inflation and interest rates, rising real incomes and positive house price growth continued to support the market.

Retail construction, whilst challenging for the contractor and offering slim margins, does offer repeated high volumes of work, especially in the grocery sector. Sectors such as food retail where capital expenditure has remained relatively strong so far have been areas offering opportunities for contractors throughout the downturn, which helped to maintain order books and work pipelines. However, the retail market continues to be driven by structural changes due to the growth of online shopping. Profit margins for traditional retailers continue to be squeezed by non-store and online sales, rapidly changing consumer habits and intense competition from discounters such as Aldi and Lidl.

Whilst retail contractors are set to see more work coming through in 2016, the value and size of projects have changed with an emphasis on smaller refurbishment, particularly for the convenience and discount sectors in urban locations. Store rationalisation by many of the largest grocery and non-food chains looks likely to continue, with non-food retailers in particular focusing on major national hubs in shopping centres and out-of-town retail parks. This trend has led to an imbalance between demand and availability for prime retail space, a situation that is likely to remain due to the lack of new developments. A return to increasing real wages and consumer spending growth is expected to continue to support retail sector recovery and a gradual increase in demand for shopfitting services and a rolling out of wider store refurbishment programmes by retailers.

The extent and speed of the recovery for retail will remain heavily dependent upon the levels of consumer confidence and spending and, given these positive economic factors which have continued into 2015, current forecasts indicate total annual output increases of between 3-4% to 2019. Into the medium-term, the retail sector is facing significant structural changes with the continuing growth of internet shopping likely to increase demand for warehousing space to service this growth but also declining demand for traditional retail outlets, particularly in high street locations. However, the retail sector faces significant structural changes as consumers are increasingly forecast to employ different shopping methods such as online home delivery, as well as click and collect. This means that a significant proportion of investment for the retail sector is likely to be in warehousing and distribution centres to service these new shopping methods.

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