1. Market Research
  2. > Packaging Market Trends
Packaging machinery forecast 2017-2019

Packaging machinery forecast 2017-2019

  • January 2017
  • 917 pages
  • ID: 3868384
  • Format: PDF
  • UCIMA

Summary

Table of Contents

Search Inside

The new report on the current state of the market and future sales trends produced by UCIMA Research Department, called “THE CUBE” aims to provide companies in the packaging machinery sector with a useful tool for analysing, forecasting and simulating the growth prospects for sales in global markets.

Unlike the forecasts made by other data providers, which are often based solely on expected variations in demand for consumption goods in the various geographical regions and/or evaluations made by privileged observers and experts in the industry, the estimates made by UCIMA are differentiated according to three key parameters:

1. GEOGRAPHICAL REGION:
three levels of detail: Global, 6 Macro Regions and 70 individual countries;
2. CLIENT PRODUCT SECTOR:
Classification into 6 categories: Food, Beverage, Pharmaceutical, Cosmetics, Chemicals, Tobacco-Tissue and others;
3. FAMILIES OF MACHINERY:
Classification into 7 families: Filling machines, Sterilising machines, FFS (Form, Fill and Seal) machines, Cartoning machines, Wrapping machines and Pallet forming machines.

These three variables represent the three axes of a three-dimensional system with the geometric shape of a cube, hence the name of this forecasting model.

The “Cube” offers an extensive and detailed breakdown of the market and consequently a wide range of adequately detailed forecasts, each of which has a specific mix of the three dimensions as its coordinates (e.g. labelling machines for the pharmaceutical industry for sale in Saudi Arabia, filling machines for the beverage industry to be sold in the USA, and so on).

Forecasts are crucial in the short to medium-term (1-4 years) to enable companies to make accurate estimates of their expected sales volumes and, above all, to predict future earnings based on the manufacturing and sales mix adopted. This analysis is also essential for scenario simulations, an activity in which company decision-makers evaluate the short to medium-term impact of potential investment options, whether aimed at consolidating or diversifying these production and sales mixes. It is a dedicated tool developed specifically for Italian companies wishing to analyse the future prospects for change in their export markets or those of their main competitors. By cross-referencing a wide range of different sources (Eurostat, OECD, IMF, WTO and WORLD BANK for macroeconomics, household consumption and country political/institutional analyses; ITC for data on bilateral import-export flows of packaging machinery and spare parts to/from countries all over the world; and lastly the original UCIMA panel survey for machinery export data by machine type and geographical destination provided by Italian companies) and using a complex econometric estimating/calibration and calculation system, the “Cube” offers a truly integrated short and medium-term forecasting system for sales of packaging machinery.

In particular, the evaluation scheme for the expected variation rates for each market area, client sector and family of machines is based on two different estimation models, both applied to packaging machinery exports. The first considers variations in turnover by geographical region over a long-term period (a 14 years time serie), whereas the second assigns greater importance to the more recent economic trends (last 4 years). Calibration was performed using simple interpolation and retropolation control methods (interpolation, parameter estimation and sensitivity analysis backward implemented to calibrate the model).

The results were further calibrated to take account of a range of factors, including the international economic situation and country risk, monetary and currency policies and appreciation/depreciation of bilateral/ multilateral exchange rates and real effective multilateral exchange rates, changes to transaction costs and international exchange regimes (regulatory, legislative and fiscal), the degree of demographic and urban development and the effective consumption of packaging at the individual country level. The unique value of the “Cube” derives firstly from the “holistic” methodological approach adopted in which the forecasts are based on an integrated, coherent estimation/calibration/computation system using many different sources, and secondly from the method used for weighting the three dimensions of the forecast. This weighting takes account of the real importance of the geographical region, client sector and family of machines in the typical production mixes observed amongst the industry leading companies at a global level, including not just the characteristics of the typical production/export mixes of Italian companies (a panel of more than 400 Italian companies) but also those of Italy’s main competitor countries (Germany, USA, China, Japan and others).

This gives rise to a range of 252 expected annual average growth rates across the 6 geographical macro-regions and more than 2,900 growth rates when conducting the analysis at the most detailed level of individual countries. In both cases, the expected growth rates are projected over a period of four years (in this edition, the three-year period 2017- 2019). Because these forecasts are differentiated over three dimensions in which each company can reference the expected sales of its own specific production/export mix, they are more accurate than individual growth/production trends in downstream end product segments, in the final demand of client sectors or in simple territorial growth of machinery exports.

COUNTRY RANKINGS The expected results in terms of size and growth for individual countries are then drawn together into rankings. Rankings are provided for the size of markets in 2015, for the forecasted size in 2019 and for forecasted growth of both the market and Italian exports to these countries. Another ranking, the Growth-MECS (GMECS) ranking, brings together the two key factors determining the attractiveness of markets: size and growth. This ranking considers the size (in terms of value) of the new markets that will be generated in different countries between 2017 and 2019.

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 150+ Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 25,000 trusted sources
  • Single User License — provides access to the report by one individual.
  • Department License — allows you to share the report with up to 5 users
  • Site License — allows the report to be shared amongst all employees in a defined country
  • Corporate License — allows for complete access, globally.
Ahmad helps you find the right report:
Testimonials

The research specialist advised us on the best content for our needs and provided a great report and follow-up, thanks very much we shall look at ReportLinker in the future.

Kate Merrick

Global Marketing Manager at
Eurotherm by Schneider Electric

We were impressed with the support that ReportLinker’s research specialists’ team provided. The report we purchased was useful and provided exactly what we want.

Category Manager at
Ikea

ReportLinker gave access to reliable and useful data while avoiding dispersing resources and spending too much time on unnecessary research.

Executive Director at
PwC Advisory

The customer service was fast, responsive, and 100% professional in all my dealings (...) If we have more research needs, I'll certainly prioritize working with ReportLinker!

Scott Griffith

Vice President Marketing at
Maurice Sporting Goods

The research specialist provided prompt, helpful instructions for accessing ReportLinker's product. He also followed up to make sure everything went smoothly and to ensure an easy transition to the next stage of my research

Jessica P Huffman

Research Associate at
American Transportation Research Institute

Excellent customer service. Very responsive and fast.

Director, Corporate Strategy at
Ingredion

I reached out to ReportLinker for a detailed market study on the Air Treatment industry. The quality of the report, the research specialist’s willingness to solve my queries exceeded my expectations. I would definitely recommend ReportLinker for in-depth industry information.

Mariana Mendoza

Global Platform Senior Manager at
Whirlpool Corporation

Thanks! I like what you've provided and will certainly come back if I need to do further research works.

Bee Hin Png

CEO at
LDR Pte Ltd

The research specialist advised us on the best content for our needs and provided a great report and follow-up, thanks very much we shall look at ReportLinker in the future.

Kate Merrick

Global Marketing Manager at
Eurotherm by Schneider Electric

FAQ
  • How we can help
    • I am not sure if the report I am interested in will fulfill my needs. Can you help me?
    • Yes, of course. You can call us at +33(0) 4 37 65 17 03 or drop us an email at researchadvisor@reportlinker.com to let us know more about your requirements.
    • We buy reports often - can ReportLinker get me any benefits?
    • Yes. Set up a call with a Senior Research Advisor to learn more - researchadvisor@reportlinker.com or +33(0) 4 37 65 17 03.
    • I have had negative experiences with market research reports before. How can you avoid this from happening again?
    • We advise all clients to read the TOC and Summary and list your questions so that we can get more insight for you before you make any purchase decision. A research advisor will accompany you so that you can compare samples and reports from different sources, and choose the study that is right for you.

  • Report Delivery
    • How and when I will receive my Report?
    • Most reports are delivered right away in a pdf format, while others are accessed via a secure link and access codes. Do note that sometimes reports are sent within a 12 hour period, depending on the time zones. However, you can contact us to escalate this. Should you need a hard copy, you can check if this option is offered for the particular report, and pay the related fees.
  • Payment conditions
    • What payment methods do you accept?
      1. Credit card : VISA, American Express, Mastercard, or
      2. You can download an invoice to pay by wire transfer, check, or via a Purchase Order from your company, or
      3. You can pay via a Check made out in US Dollars, Euros, or British Pounds for the full amount made payable to ReportLinker
    • What are ReportLinker’s Payment Terms?
    • All payments must normally be submitted within 30 days. However, you can let us know if you need extended time.
    • Are Taxes and duties included?
    • All companies based in France must pay a 20% tax per report. The same applies to all individuals based in the EU. All EU companies must supply their VAT number when purchasing to avoid this charge.
    • I’m not satisfied. Can I be refunded?
    • No. Once your order has been processed and the publisher has received a notification to send you the report, we cannot issue any refund or cancel any order. As these are not ‘traditional’ products that can be returned, reports that are dispatched are considered to be ‘consumed’.
  • User license
    • The license that you should acquire depends on the number of persons that need to access the report. This can range from Single User (only one person will have the right to read or access the report), or Department License (up to 5 persons), to Site License (a group of persons based in the same company location), or Corporate License (the entire company personnel based worldwide). However, as publishers have different terms and conditions, we can look into this for you.

ref:plp2017

Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2020. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.

Make sure you don’t miss any news and follow us on