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The Central and Eastern Europe telecoms market: trends and forecasts (six countries) 2016–2021

The Central and Eastern Europe telecoms market: trends and forecasts (six countries) 2016–2021

  • September 2016
  • 47 pages
  • ID: 4139957
  • Format: PDF
  • Analysys Mason

Summary

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"Mobile handset data revenue will be the main source of retail revenue in Central and Eastern Europe, accounting for 29% of the total retail revenue in 2021."

Service revenue in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) visibly recovered in 2015, but we forecast slow service revenue decline in the forecast period. We anticipate that total service revenue (including pay TV) will decline to EUR60.4 billion in 2021, compared with EUR61.9 billion in 2015. Mobile retail revenue will increase at a CAGR of 0.1% and fixed retail revenue will decline at a CAGR of –1% in the forecast period.

THIS REPORT AND ASSOCIATED DATA ANNEX PROVIDE:

a 5-year forecast of more than 345 mobile and fixed KPIs for Central and Eastern Europe, as a whole and for 6 key countries
an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

COVERAGE

Geographical coverage

Key performance indicators
Regions modelled
Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)

Countries modelled individually
Czech Republic
Hungary
Poland
Romania
Russia
Turkey

Countries not modelled individually, but modelled as part of the region as a whole
Albania
Belarus
Bosnia
Bulgaria
Croatia
Estonia
Latvia
Lithuania
Macedonia
Moldova
Montenegro
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Ukraine

Connections
Mobile
Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
Prepaid, contract
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
Smartphone,
non-smartphone

Fixed
Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
Narrowband voice, VoBB
DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed and mobile voice traffic
Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue
Mobile
Service, retail
Prepaid, contract
Handset, mobile broadband, M2M
Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed
Service, retail
Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Mobile ARPU
SIMs, handset
Prepaid, contract
Handset voice, data

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