1. Market Research
Country Forecast Italy April 2018 Updater

Country Forecast Italy April 2018 Updater

  • April 2018
  • ID: 4983628
  • Format: PDF
  • By The Economist Intelligence Unit


Table of Contents

Search Inside

  • The general election held on March 4th 2018 has produced a severely fragmented parliament. None of the three main blocs-the centre left, led by the Partito Democratico (PD); the centre right comprising Forza Italia (FI), the populist, Eurosceptic Lega and the right-wing Fratelli d'Italia; and the anti-establishment Movimento 5 Stelle (M5S)-won a majority of seats.
  • Anti-establishment, Eurosceptic forces obtained a combined share of the vote of more than 50%, with M5S emerging as the single biggest party and the Lega becoming the largest party in the largest bloc, the centre right. Although M5S and the Lega toned down their Eurosceptic statements during the election campaign, there is still concern that the participation of these parties in a government would make Italy a difficult partner in Europe and worry investors.
  • Currently The Economist Intelligence Unit's baseline forecast is that an M5S-Lega government will be formed. However, we think that this option is difficult, as the Lega would risk losing its hard-won leadership of the centre right. If this option fails, a coalition comprising M5S and the centre left could emerge to avoid a rerun of the vote, which, using the existing electoral laws, would probably produce another badly hung parliament; however, a rerun cannot be ruled out.
  • Political uncertainty increases the potential for financial volatility, and could disrupt the current economic recovery. We believe that the European Central Bank (ECB) will have sufficient tools at its disposal to contain any financial market turmoil. Italy's most vulnerable credit institutions are now on a sounder footing, but addressing the structural weak-nesses in the banking system will be a difficult process within the EU's banking union rules.
  • There is uncertainty about the direction of economic policy after the election, but we expect the government to adhere broadly to the EU's fiscal rules and keep the budget deficit smaller than the 3% of GDP limit. We expect the deficit to ease from an estimated 2.2% of GDP in 2017 to 2% in 2018, as bolder fiscal consolidation will be difficult following the election. As interest rates rise we expect the deficit to expand, reaching 2.7% in 2022. We expect government debt to remain around 130% of GDP during the forecast period (2018-22).
  • We expect that domestic demand growth and solid external demand will continue to sustain the moderate economic recovery that began in 2014. We forecast that real GDP growth will slow from 1.6% in 2017 to 1.3% in 2018. In 2019-22 we forecast that real GDP growth will average 1% per year. We expect the current account to remain firmly in surplus in 2018-22.

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 150+ Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 25,000 trusted sources
  • Single User License — provides access to the report by one individual.
  • Department License — allows you to share the report with up to 5 users
  • Site License — allows the report to be shared amongst all employees in a defined country
  • Corporate License — allows for complete access, globally.
Ahmad helps you find the right report:

The research specialist advised us on the best content for our needs and provided a great report and follow-up, thanks very much we shall look at ReportLinker in the future.

Kate Merrick

Global Marketing Manager at
Eurotherm by Schneider Electric

We were impressed with the support that ReportLinker’s research specialists’ team provided. The report we purchased was useful and provided exactly what we want.

Category Manager at

ReportLinker gave access to reliable and useful data while avoiding dispersing resources and spending too much time on unnecessary research.

Executive Director at
PwC Advisory

The customer service was fast, responsive, and 100% professional in all my dealings (...) If we have more research needs, I'll certainly prioritize working with ReportLinker!

Scott Griffith

Vice President Marketing at
Maurice Sporting Goods

The research specialist provided prompt, helpful instructions for accessing ReportLinker's product. He also followed up to make sure everything went smoothly and to ensure an easy transition to the next stage of my research

Jessica P Huffman

Research Associate at
American Transportation Research Institute

Excellent customer service. Very responsive and fast.

Director, Corporate Strategy at

I reached out to ReportLinker for a detailed market study on the Air Treatment industry. The quality of the report, the research specialist’s willingness to solve my queries exceeded my expectations. I would definitely recommend ReportLinker for in-depth industry information.

Mariana Mendoza

Global Platform Senior Manager at
Whirlpool Corporation

Thanks! I like what you've provided and will certainly come back if I need to do further research works.

Bee Hin Png

CEO at
LDR Pte Ltd

The research specialist advised us on the best content for our needs and provided a great report and follow-up, thanks very much we shall look at ReportLinker in the future.

Kate Merrick

Global Marketing Manager at
Eurotherm by Schneider Electric

  • How we can help
    • I am not sure if the report I am interested in will fulfill my needs. Can you help me?
    • Yes, of course. You can call us at +33(0) 4 37 65 17 03 or drop us an email at researchadvisor@reportlinker.com to let us know more about your requirements.
    • We buy reports often - can ReportLinker get me any benefits?
    • Yes. Set up a call with a Senior Research Advisor to learn more - researchadvisor@reportlinker.com or +33(0) 4 37 65 17 03.
    • I have had negative experiences with market research reports before. How can you avoid this from happening again?
    • We advise all clients to read the TOC and Summary and list your questions so that we can get more insight for you before you make any purchase decision. A research advisor will accompany you so that you can compare samples and reports from different sources, and choose the study that is right for you.

  • Report Delivery
    • How and when I will receive my Report?
    • Most reports are delivered right away in a pdf format, while others are accessed via a secure link and access codes. Do note that sometimes reports are sent within a 12 hour period, depending on the time zones. However, you can contact us to escalate this. Should you need a hard copy, you can check if this option is offered for the particular report, and pay the related fees.
  • Payment conditions
    • What payment methods do you accept?
      1. Credit card : VISA, American Express, Mastercard, or
      2. You can download an invoice to pay by wire transfer, check, or via a Purchase Order from your company, or
      3. You can pay via a Check made out in US Dollars, Euros, or British Pounds for the full amount made payable to ReportLinker
    • What are ReportLinker’s Payment Terms?
    • All payments must normally be submitted within 30 days. However, you can let us know if you need extended time.
    • Are Taxes and duties included?
    • All companies based in France must pay a 20% tax per report. The same applies to all individuals based in the EU. All EU companies must supply their VAT number when purchasing to avoid this charge.
    • I’m not satisfied. Can I be refunded?
    • No. Once your order has been processed and the publisher has received a notification to send you the report, we cannot issue any refund or cancel any order. As these are not ‘traditional’ products that can be returned, reports that are dispatched are considered to be ‘consumed’.
  • User license
    • The license that you should acquire depends on the number of persons that need to access the report. This can range from Single User (only one person will have the right to read or access the report), or Department License (up to 5 persons), to Site License (a group of persons based in the same company location), or Corporate License (the entire company personnel based worldwide). However, as publishers have different terms and conditions, we can look into this for you.
Purchase Reports From Reputable Market Research Publishers

Adrenoleukodystrophy (ALD) - Epidemiology Forecast to 2030

  • $ 3750
  • April 2020
  • 83 pages

Overview‘Adrenoleukodystrophy (ALD) - Epidemiology Forecast to 2030’ report delivers an in-depth understanding of the disease, historical and forecasted Adrenoleukodystrophy epidemiology in the 7MM, ...


Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2020. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.

Make sure you don’t miss any news and follow us on