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Chinese Alcohol Ether Market Annual Report 2016

Chinese Alcohol Ether Market Annual Report 2016

  • March 2017
  • 77 pages
  • ID: 5168544
  • Format: PDF
  • By Sublime China Information

Summary

Table of Contents

Huge volatility was seen in the Chinese butyl glycol (BG) market in 2016. BG producers suffered great losses as prices kept dropping in H1, 2016. While they reversed the losses dramatically because the prices rebounded in H2, up over 40% in total. What were the reasons? In 2015, units at some BG producers had unexpected shutdowns, leading to a supply shortage of Chinese-made BG.

In 2016, supply was unstable as major producers’ units broke down frequently. Imported BG continued to take a majority of the market share. But why did the arrivals drop instead of rising, given that demand for BG kept going up? Did it have anything to do with the South Korea’s anti-dumping duties on European and the U.S. BG? Besides, the unit at Sadara Chemical will go into production. Will it make a great impact on the Chinese domestic market? What will happen to the BG supply-demand pattern? This report will make a deep insight into the BG market with analysis on BG supply-demand pattern, downstream market performance and macro influences.

There is no newly-added BG capacity and expansion plan in recent years. The Chinese BG capacity is at a low level, and Chinese BG producers are gaining fine profits. Overall, the Chinese BG market enjoys great potential of development. In 2016, Chinese BG prices fluctuated widely. In 2015, prices trended up and then fell, while in 2016, prices firstly dropped and then rose. Generally, BG prices in 2016 were lower from 2015.

In the context of the weak global economy and sharp demand reduction, the Chinese propylene glycol monoethyl ether (PM)/propylene glycol monoethyl acetate (PMA) market remained soft in H1, 2016. Prices hit new lows repeatedly. While in H2, 2016, prices soared, up nearly 40%. What were the reasons? Overall, the oversupply of PM/PMA continued in 2016 in China, and demand was lackluster. Chinese PM/PMA producers were not active in production, and some had long-term shutdowns. Why does the PM/PMA market fail to boom? Will the macroeconomic regulation influence the market, given that the growth of real estate industry slows down? The industry policies continue to be adjusted. What changes should be concerned about? What’s the future of the PM/PMA industry? With comprehensive analysis and interpretation, we will provide the most accurate judgments.

In H1 of 2016, PM/PMA supply was sufficient, and demand remained tepid. The raw material market also lacked bullish factors. Thus, the PM/PMA market continued to be weak. In mid-July, raw material prices increased. Operating rates at coating producers went up, boosting the demand for PM/PMA.

Therefore, the PM/PMA market strongly rebounded. In mid-September, the PM/PMA market showed an upturned “V”-shape movement influenced by the boom and bust in the PO market. In early 2016, barreled PM was offered at RMB 9,300-9,600/mt in cash, and barreled PMA was offered at RMB 8,200–8,400/mt in cash. In mid-July, prices of barreled PM dropped to RMB 8,500–8,600/mt in cash, and those of barreled PMA dropped to RMB 7,500–7,600/mt in cash. In late September, prices of barreled PM soared to RMB 11,500–12,000/mt in cash, and those of barreled PMA rose to RMB 9,500–11,000/mt in cash. In late November, prices of barreled PM fell to RMB 10,200–11,300/mt in cash, and those of barreled PMA decreased to RMB 9,200–10,300/mt in cash.

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