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Global Risk Report -Quarterly Update: Q1 2017

Q1 2017: Global Risk Report -Quarterly Update Industry Report

  • July 2017
  • 53 pages
  • ID: 5205131
In this report:
According to the latest International Monetary Fund (IMF) release, the world economy is expected to grow by ##.##% in 2017 and ##.##% in 2018, mainly driven by cyclical recovery in investment, manufacturing, and trade.
According to the National Bank of Canada, output declined at the Syncrude oil facility, which produces ##,## barrels of oil per day, due to a fire that shut down the plant for the entire month of April.

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Global Risk Report -Quarterly Update: Q1 2017

Brief

The second update version of MarketLine Country Risk Index Q1 2017 ranks Singapore at the best followed by Sweden (SE) and New Zealand (NZ). 31 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 34 countries in the low risk zone, 39 countries under manageable risk, 24 countries under high risk and 8 countries in the very high risk zone in MLCRI Q1 2017.

Reverse globalization, cyber crimes, geo-political tensions, growing inequality, policy uncertainty of main economies, automation and job loss increasing pollution levels, ageing population and fiscal crisis has been identified as the main overall risk factors of 2017. Overall political instability is at all times high as reflected from the new events in Italy (IT), USA and UK. Voters are increasingly becoming hostile towards globalization and worldwide trade which is resulted from heightened feeling of nationalism across the globe. Prolonged period of low interest rates in main economies in the globe have heightened economic concerns. Some central banks have kept the interest rates below zero. The central banks have been unsuccessful in reviving the economic activities and financial markets by keeping the interest rates at a very low level which is a worrisome sign for the overall economy.

Abstract

Overall Risk Report is based on MarketLine Country Risk Index which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing several qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their overall business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the recent available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and worldwide statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from MarketLine Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, MarketLine analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

Overview

- Based on political stability factor, better transparency, good governance, superior regulatory quality and control of corruption; MLCRI ranks Norway (NO) at the most important and Syria at the bottom in 2017.

- Analysis based on bigger economic growth, lower inflation rate, lower debt, easy access to credit, availability of venture capital etc, Sweden (SE) tops the countries list indicating lowest economic risk succeeded by USA, Taiwan and Norway (NO) in MLCRI in 2017.

- In terms of literacy rate, life expectancy, lower dependency ratio, flexible wages and capacity to attract, Singapore (SG) ranked at the best and Chad at the bottom in MLCRI 2017.

- Finland (FI) tops the countries list relating to lowest technological risk factor succeeded by Korea, Japan (JP) and Singapore (SG) in MLCRI in 2017 based on the capacity for innovation, ICT landscape, mobile and internet penetration.

- New Zealand (NZ) is having the least risk and Syria more important relating to legal risk factor in MLCRI in 2017 based on the property rights, strength of investor's protection, intellectual property protection and efficiency in legal frame work.

- 42 out of 136 nations have least environmental risk in MLCRI 2017. Countries including the Philippines, Costa Rica and El Salvador which are prone to environmental vulnerability including flood, earthquakes etc are ranked at the bottom in MLCRI's environmental risk pillar.

Purposes to acquire this study

- Global Risk Report is based on MarketLine Country Risk Index which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing different qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their overall business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

- The Country Risk Index incorporates the recent available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and worldwide statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from MarketLine Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, MarketLine analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

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