1. Market Research
Country Forecast Croatia March 2018 Updater

Country Forecast Croatia March 2018 Updater

  • March 2018
  • ID: 5370281

Summary

Table of Contents

Search Inside



  • The coalition government, led by the conservative Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ), has the support of several members of parliament from the liberal Croatian People's Party (HNS). It could prove unstable, and an early election is possible.
  • Relations between Croatia and Bosnia and Hercegovina (BiH) will fluctuate between hostile and cool. However, The Economist Intelligence Unit does not expect relations to break down completely, nor does it expect a return to violent conflict.
  • Progress on structural reforms, particularly concerning healthcare and pensions, will remain slow.
  • Croatia's recent success in reducing the fiscal deficit has enabled it to exit the EU's excessive-deficit procedure. We expect the deficit to remain well within the 3% of GDP ceiling over the forecast period (2018-22).
  • The government should continue to be able to finance the fiscal deficit on international markets during the forecast period, although there are risks to this forecast owing to future monetary policy tightening in the US.
  • Public debt will decline to an average of about 73.1% of GDP on average in 2018-22-still a high level for an emerging market such as Croatia. Large financing needs leave the country vulnerable to a downturn in foreign investor sentiment.
  • After real GDP growth of 2.3% in 2015 (the first positive outturn since 2008), growth picked up to 3.2% in 2016. Real GDP growth in 2017 was 2.8% and we expect the economy to expand by an average of 2.7% per year in 2018-22.
  • Risks to this outlook are to the downside. Failure to pass structural reforms, a slowdown in Europe, a poor tourist season or a chaotic restructuring of Agrokor, Croatia's largest private company, would all hinder growth.
  • After three consecutive years of deflation, in 2017 the consumer price index rose by 1.1%. In 2018­22, when we forecast higher international oil prices, we expect inflation to average 1.8% per year.
  • We expect the kuna to appreciate gradually against the euro in 2018-22, owing to the healthy stock of reserves, loose euro zone monetary policy, and improved external and fiscal positions.






Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 150+ Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 25,000 trusted sources
  • Single User License — provides access to the report by one individual.
  • Department License — allows you to share the report with up to 5 users
  • Site License — allows the report to be shared amongst all employees in a defined country
  • Corporate License — allows for complete access, globally.
Veronica helps you find the right report:
Testimonials

The research specialist advised us on the best content for our needs and provided a great report and follow-up, thanks very much we shall look at ReportLinker in the future.

Kate Merrick

Global Marketing Manager at
Eurotherm by Schneider Electric

We were impressed with the support that ReportLinker’s research specialists’ team provided. The report we purchased was useful and provided exactly what we want.

Category Manager at
Ikea

ReportLinker gave access to reliable and useful data while avoiding dispersing resources and spending too much time on unnecessary research.

Executive Director at
PwC Advisory

The customer service was fast, responsive, and 100% professional in all my dealings (...) If we have more research needs, I'll certainly prioritize working with ReportLinker!

Scott Griffith

Vice President Marketing at
Maurice Sporting Goods

The research specialist provided prompt, helpful instructions for accessing ReportLinker's product. He also followed up to make sure everything went smoothly and to ensure an easy transition to the next stage of my research

Jessica P Huffman

Research Associate at
American Transportation Research Institute

Excellent customer service. Very responsive and fast.

Director, Corporate Strategy at
Ingredion

I reached out to ReportLinker for a detailed market study on the Air Treatment industry. The quality of the report, the research specialist’s willingness to solve my queries exceeded my expectations. I would definitely recommend ReportLinker for in-depth industry information.

Mariana Mendoza

Global Platform Senior Manager at
Whirlpool Corporation

Thanks! I like what you've provided and will certainly come back if I need to do further research works.

Bee Hin Png

CEO at
LDR Pte Ltd

The research specialist advised us on the best content for our needs and provided a great report and follow-up, thanks very much we shall look at ReportLinker in the future.

Kate Merrick

Global Marketing Manager at
Eurotherm by Schneider Electric

FAQ
  • How we can help
    • I am not sure if the report I am interested in will fulfill my needs. Can you help me?
    • Yes, of course. You can call us at +33(0) 4 37 65 17 03 or drop us an email at researchadvisor@reportlinker.com to let us know more about your requirements.
    • We buy reports often - can ReportLinker get me any benefits?
    • Yes. Set up a call with a Senior Research Advisor to learn more - researchadvisor@reportlinker.com or +33(0) 4 37 65 17 03.
    • I have had negative experiences with market research reports before. How can you avoid this from happening again?
    • We advise all clients to read the TOC and Summary and list your questions so that we can get more insight for you before you make any purchase decision. A research advisor will accompany you so that you can compare samples and reports from different sources, and choose the study that is right for you.

  • Report Delivery
    • How and when I will receive my Report?
    • Most reports are delivered right away in a pdf format, while others are accessed via a secure link and access codes. Do note that sometimes reports are sent within a 12 hour period, depending on the time zones. However, you can contact us to escalate this. Should you need a hard copy, you can check if this option is offered for the particular report, and pay the related fees.
  • Payment conditions
    • What payment methods do you accept?
      1. Credit card : VISA, American Express, Mastercard, or
      2. You can download an invoice to pay by wire transfer, check, or via a Purchase Order from your company, or
      3. You can pay via a Check made out in US Dollars, Euros, or British Pounds for the full amount made payable to ReportLinker
    • What are ReportLinker’s Payment Terms?
    • All payments must normally be submitted within 30 days. However, you can let us know if you need extended time.
    • Are Taxes and duties included?
    • All companies based in France must pay a 20% tax per report. The same applies to all individuals based in the EU. All EU companies must supply their VAT number when purchasing to avoid this charge.
    • I’m not satisfied. Can I be refunded?
    • No. Once your order has been processed and the publisher has received a notification to send you the report, we cannot issue any refund or cancel any order. As these are not ‘traditional’ products that can be returned, reports that are dispatched are considered to be ‘consumed’.
  • User license
    • The license that you should acquire depends on the number of persons that need to access the report. This can range from Single User (only one person will have the right to read or access the report), or Department License (up to 5 persons), to Site License (a group of persons based in the same company location), or Corporate License (the entire company personnel based worldwide). However, as publishers have different terms and conditions, we can look into this for you.

ref:plp2018

Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2018. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.

Make sure you don’t miss any news and follow us on