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Company Analysis: AstraZeneca

Company Analysis: AstraZeneca

  • January 2021
  • 87 pages
  • ID: 6102710
  • Format: PDF
  • Pharma Intelligence


Table of Contents

PharmaVitae explores AstraZeneca’s prescription pharmaceutical performance and outlook over 2019–29.

Overview – AstraZeneca is poised for continued growth, driven by its oncology portfolio and strong presence in high-growth emerging markets like China.
Key themes – [1] AstraZeneca’s oncology portfolio – Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Lynparza, among others – grew 44% in 2019 and should sustain robust growth rates over the forecast period [2] Leading position in Rest of World markets, such as China, provides AstraZeneca with a strong foothold to drive future growth as these emerging markets should grow quicker than established markets [3] Upcoming product launches of Enhertu, roxadustat, and tezepelumab, which each have the potential to be blockbusters.

Model updates (6 November 2020)

Tagrisso forecast adjusted lower due to high market penetration in first-line NSCLC
Imfinzi forecast adjusted lower in Japan
Lynparza forecast adjusted lower in Japan
Enhertu forecast adjusted lower due to removal of estimates in 5EU as Daiichi Sankyo commercializes in those markets.

Model updates (3 August 2020)

Pulmicort forecast adjusted lower due to negative impact of COVID-19 in China
Imfinzi forecast adjusted lower.

Model updates (21 May 2020)

Tagrisso forecast adjusted higher due to recent results of ADAURA trial in adjuvant NSCLC
Calquence forecast adjusted higher due to supplemental approval in CLL/SLL
Farxiga forecast adjusted lower due to complete response letter in type 1 diabetes
Koselugo forecast added.

Model updates (9 March 2020)

Tagrisso sales adjusted higher due to continued growth in first-line non-small cell lung cancer
DS-8201 name changed to Enhertu; forecast adjusted due to launch timing and revenue recognition guidance (royalties from Daiichi will not be recognized as product sales)
Symbicort forecast adjusted higher due to launch of authorized generic in the US, and strength in Rest of World
Pulmicort forecast adjusted higher due to higher demand in Rest of World
Fasenra forecast adjusted higher due to continued market share gains in severe, uncontrolled asthma
Epanova forecast removed due to termination of Phase IIII STRENGTH trial.

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