Forecast: Palm Kernel Oil Demand in Poland

The demand for palm kernel oil in Poland has shown a general downward trend over the past decade, declining from 11,000 metric tons in 2014 to 7,000 metric tons by 2023. The year-on-year variation from 2022 to 2023 remained flat at 0%, while the cumulative average growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was -2.64%.

Key annual variations over specific years include:

  • 2015: -18.18%
  • 2016: +11.11%
  • 2017: -10%
  • 2018: -11.11%
  • 2019–2021: 0%
  • 2022: -12.5%
  • 2023: 0%

The forecast data suggest a continued decline, with values projected to reach 6,000 metric tons by 2028, resulting in a forecasted five-year CAGR of -3.04% and a 14.29% decrease over this period.

Future trends to watch include potential shifts in consumer preferences toward sustainable and eco-friendly alternatives, stringent environmental regulations, and changes in global supply chains impacting the availability and cost of palm kernel oil.

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