Between 2013 and 2023, the measles immunization coverage for children in Brazil demonstrated a downward trend, starting from 98 units in 2013 to 80 units in 2023. The year-on-year variation showed notable fluctuations, with significant declines particularly in 2017, 2020, and 2021, and registered brief recuperations in 2018 and 2022. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years leading to 2023 is -2.76%, reflecting a substantial decrease in immunization coverage.
Looking forward, forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicate a stabilization in immunization coverage at 80 units annually. This plateau suggests no expected growth or decline during this period, providing a CAGR of 0% and a forecasted five-year growth rate of 0%.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy shifts, healthcare initiatives, and public awareness campaigns that could influence immunization rates. Monitoring government actions, parental attitudes toward vaccination, and external factors such as disease outbreaks will be crucial in forecasting more accurate future trends in immunization coverage.
