The forecast for fresh periwinkles production in the UK's capture fisheries indicates a clear declining trend from 2024 to 2028. Production is set to drop from 11.4 metric tons in 2024 to 2.84 metric tons by 2028. The year-on-year variations show a progressive reduction in production volume, with significant percentage decreases anticipated annually: a substantial 19.30% drop from 2024 to 2025, 23.59% from 2025 to 2026, 30.15% from 2026 to 2027, and finally a 42.16% drop from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period reflects an average annual decrease, highlighting a major contraction in supply.
Future trends to watch include potential effects of environmental policies on fisheries, shifts in market demand due to changes in consumer preferences, and possible impacts of climate change on periwinkle habitats. Monitoring these factors could provide insights into sustainable management practices and potential avenues for reviving production levels.
