The forecast for oranges production in Kenya from 2013 to 2028 shows significant fluctuations, with an observed decline in production from 2013 up to 2023. In 2023, the production stood at 68.99 thousand metric tons. Over the last two years, the year-on-year variations have been relatively minimal, with a slight decrease of 0.72% in 2022 and 0.71% in 2023. The CAGR over the past five years (2018-2023) averaged a negative 0.75%, indicating a continuous decline in production.

Future trends to watch for:

From 2024 onwards, production is forecasted to continue decreasing, with a CAGR of -0.6% projected over the next five years.
Factors such as climate change, pest infestations, and market conditions could further impact the yields.
Efforts in agricultural innovation and sustainable farming practices may help mitigate the decline.