In 2023, the UK's natural gas gross heat production was recorded at approximately 1.52 million tonnes of oil equivalent. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 suggest a gradual increase in production, reaching 1.64 by 2028. The year-on-year growth rates demonstrate a steady increase, with approximately 1.95% in 2025, 1.27% in 2026, 1.89% in 2027, and 1.23% in 2028. On average, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 is estimated around 1.54%.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential shifts in policy towards renewable energy which could impact natural gas production levels.
Technological advancements in extraction and production efficiency.
Market responses to geopolitical shifts that could affect global energy supply dynamics.