In 2023, the refinery output for kerosene-type jet fuel in France stood at an unspecified value. From 2024 onwards, there is a consistent year-on-year decrease in projected output. The values decline at a decreasing rate over this period: 1.76% from 2024 to 2025, 1.81% from 2025 to 2026, 1.80% from 2026 to 2027, and 1.81% from 2027 to 2028. Over this forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negative, reflecting a persistent downward trend due to potential factors such as energy transition and increased adoption of sustainable aviation fuels.

Future trends to watch include:

Adoption rates of biofuels and alternative energy sources in aviation, which might further impact conventional jet fuel demand.
Regulatory changes and government policies that support greener fuel options or that directly aim to reduce carbon emissions in aviation.
Technological advancements in both refinery operations and aircraft efficiency which could either curb or slightly heighten demand for conventional jet fuels.