From 2013 to 2023, the share of specialist medical practitioners in Poland has exhibited a declining trend, starting at 84.93% and reducing to 73.58% in 2023. The year-on-year variations reflect a predominantly negative trajectory, particularly pronounced in 2018 and 2019, with decreases exceeding 5%. However, there were slight increments in 2020 and 2021, but overall, the trend remains downward.

Over the most recent five-year period (2018-2023), the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stands at -1.13%, indicating a consistent decline. The forecast until 2028 suggests a continued reduction, with a forecast 5-year CAGR of -0.16%, culminating in an estimated rate of 72.75%.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of healthcare reforms and policies aimed at balancing the number of specialists and general practitioners.
Changes in medical education and training programs that could influence the supply of specialist practitioners.
The role of technological advancements and telemedicine in addressing specialist shortages.