Forecast: Freshwater Abstractions for Irrigation in Mexico

Analysis of the data on freshwater abstractions for irrigation in Mexico reveals a consistent upward trend. In 2023, abstractions stood at 61.25 billion cubic meters, marking an increase of 0.73% from the previous year. Over the last five years, the Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was 0.53%, while the last two years’ annual growth rates were 0.41% and 0.73%, respectively. Forecasts predict continued growth, with an average CAGR of 0.55% over the next five years, reaching 63.41 billion cubic meters by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Climate Change Adaptations: Changes in weather patterns could impact water availability and regulatory measures.
  • Technological Innovations: Advancements in irrigation technology may enhance water use efficiency, mitigating the demand increase.
  • Policy Developments: Government policies regarding water conservation and usage could significantly reshape the landscape.
  • Agricultural Shifts: Crops requiring differing water quantities might influence future abstraction needs.
  • Population Growth: The rise in population and food demand may further elevate irrigation needs.

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