The forecast for the share of scientific publications among the world's 10% top-cited in gastroenterology in the US shows a gradual decline from 12.38% in 2024 to 11.1% in 2028. This indicates a consistent year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.32 percentage points. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period from 2024 to 2028 suggests a steady average reduction, reflecting diminishing influence or competitive positioning of the US in this specific scientific domain compared to other years.
Future trends to watch for include collaboration strategies, potential enhancements in publication quality, or shifts in research focus that could alter citation dynamics. Additionally, observing global scientific investments and policy changes might provide insights into how the US could bolster its standing in gastroenterology research.
