In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in ophthalmology in France stood at 94%. From 2024 to 2028, the forecast depicts a decline from 93.82% to 93.07%, signaling a moderate decrease in the representation of leading authors. The year-on-year variation shows a steady decline of around 0.2%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period further emphasizes this gradual reduction in the leading author's share.

Future trends to watch for:

Emergence of collaborative international authorship, potentially influencing a further decline.
Technological advancements may change publication dynamics, impacting author roles.
Monitoring policies and initiatives aimed at boosting local authorship may shift trends.