Forecast: Fresh Surface Water Abstractions for Irrigation in Mexico

Analysis of fresh surface water abstractions for irrigation in Mexico reveals a steady but modest growth from 2013 to 2023. In 2023, the volume stood at 38.61 billion cubic meters. Throughout this period, the year-on-year variations have fluctuated, with a significant dip of 2.04% in 2022 and a minor recovery of 0.054% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years leading up to 2023 was -0.26%, indicating a slight overall decline.

The forecasted trend from 2024 to 2028 shows stabilized growth, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.04% and a total growth rate over the same period of 0.21%. This suggests a marginal increase in water abstractions for irrigation, indicating a potential plateauing of demand or enhancements in irrigation efficiency.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in irrigation methods to improve efficiency.
  • Policy changes regarding water management and allocation.
  • Impact of climate change on water resource availability.
  • Population growth and agricultural demand.
  • Environmental sustainability initiatives and their effects on water use practices.

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