In 2023, the number of medical doctor graduates in the UK was at approximately 9,070. Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady annual growth in graduates, beginning at 9.14 thousand in 2024 and reaching 9.44 thousand by 2028. Year-on-year growth is consistent at roughly 0.8% to 0.9%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period projects a modest but steady increase.

Future trends to watch include:

Potential policy changes and funding increases in medical education affecting graduate numbers.
The impact of Brexit on international student admissions in medical schools.
The evolving needs of the NHS and how they might influence the demand and supply of new medical graduates.