Forecast: Number of Tourism Bedplaces by Size of Establishments in Germany

Analyzing the data for the number of tourism bedplaces in Germany, we observe a period of steady growth from 2013 to 2019, peaking at 706,060 bedplaces in 2019. However, the COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the industry, causing a sharp decline in 2020. The subsequent years saw a slow recovery, but overall figures remained below pre-pandemic levels by 2024, standing at 678,870 bedplaces.

Key Trends and Variations:

  • Steady growth from 2013 to 2019, with a peak in 2019.
  • Sharp decline in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Slow and inconsistent recovery from 2021 onwards with negative growth projected into 2028.
  • The 5-year CAGR from 2019 to 2024 indicates a slight decline of -0.55%.
  • For the upcoming years, from 2024 to 2028, further decline is anticipated with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.15%.

Future trends to watch for include the potential long-term effects of the pandemic on tourism patterns, changes in consumer behavior towards travel and accommodation, and the impact of potential economic fluctuations or policy changes within the EU that could affect the tourism industry in Germany.

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