The forecast for Italy's domestic processed waste output disposed to controlled landfills shows a decreasing trend from 2024 to 2028, with an initial figure of 0.16 metric tons per capita in 2024, dropping to 0.077 metric tons per capita by 2028. This equates to a year-on-year decrease of approximately 12.5% in 2025, 14.3% in 2026, 19.2% in 2027, and 20.6% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is notably negative, indicating a consistent reduction in landfill use per capita annually.
Future trends to watch for include innovations in recycling and waste-to-energy technologies, which could further drive down landfill dependency. Moreover, regulatory advancements and stricter environmental policies are likely to continue influencing this downward trajectory in landfill disposal rates.