Forecast: Ischaemic Heart Diseases Mortality in South Africa

Ischaemic heart diseases mortality in South Africa has shown varying trends over the past decade in thousands of male deaths. In 2023, the value stood at 7.85. From 2013 to 2023, there has been a steady increase, with a notable upturn starting from 2015. The year-on-year variations over the last two years showed a slight increase, with 2022 growing at 0.70% and 2023 at 0.68%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at 0.52%, indicating a moderate upward trend.

The future trend from 2024 to 2028 suggests a continued increase in mortality rates, with forecast values rising from 7.91 in 2024 to 8.10 in 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is 0.49%, with an overall 5-year growth rate of 2.48%.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • Potential impact of healthcare advancements and interventions on ischaemic heart diseases mortality rates.
  • Demographic shifts, particularly aging population dynamics, influencing future mortality trends.
  • Public health policies and preventive measures addressing risk factors like hypertension, diabetes, and smoking.

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