Forecast: Output of Air Transport in the UK

The output of air transport in the UK stood at £29.39 billion in 2023. The sector experienced steady growth from 2013 to 2019, followed by a significant decline in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This dip was followed by a robust recovery in 2021, with value levels nearing pre-pandemic numbers by 2022. The period from 2018 to 2023 saw an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.31%. Forecasts predict continued steady growth, with the output expected to reach £32.82 billion by 2028, corresponding to a five-year CAGR of 1.8%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • The impact of sustainability initiatives and regulations on the air transport sector.
  • Technological advancements in aviation improving efficiency and reducing costs.
  • The potential impact of geopolitical events on international air travel demand.
  • Changes in consumer behavior and preferences post-pandemic affecting travel patterns.

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