The import of fixed-wing aircraft exceeding an unladen weight of 15,000 kg to China is forecasted to experience steady growth from 2024 to 2028, with annual increases ranging from approximately 3% to 2.7% year-on-year. The cumulative growth rate over the five-year period translates to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 2.9%. This shows a consistent demand in the Chinese market for large aircraft, reflecting possibly expanding airline capacity and aviation infrastructure improvements post-2023.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in global trade policies, technological advancements in aviation, and China's domestic production capabilities. These factors could affect import demand either positively or negatively.