Forecast: Tertiary International Student Inflow in Canada

The inflow of tertiary international students in Canada has shown consistent growth from 2024 to 2028, with the values rising from 17.86% in 2024 to 19.72% in 2028. This steady increase reflects positive year-on-year growth, highlighting an expanding interest in Canadian higher education among international students. From 2024 to 2025, the inflow increased by 2.68%. The trend continued with a 2.56% rise from 2025 to 2026, 2.45% from 2026 to 2027, and 2.34% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year forecast period, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is approximately 2.51%, indicating a healthy and sustainable growth trajectory.

Looking forward, several trends should be monitored to understand the student inflow dynamics better:

  • Global economic conditions influencing students' affordability and mobility.
  • Canada's immigration policies, which could impact international students' interest and enrollment positively or negatively.
  • Competitiveness of international education markets, as other countries may vie for international students, potentially altering influx patterns.
  • Technological advancements in education, such as online learning, which may change the traditional inflow of students.

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