In 2023, France imported 139.89 million kilograms of kaolin and other kaolinic clays. From 2013 to 2023, there have been significant fluctuations in import volumes. Notable year-on-year variations include a sharp decline of 20.42% in 2020 followed by a modest recovery with a 15.41% increase in 2021. Recent trends show a consistent year-on-year decline, with a -4.31% dip in 2022 and -4.41% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years averaged -4.86%, indicating a steady decrease in import volume.
Looking into the future, the forecasted data suggests a continued decline, with a projected 5-year CAGR of -4.38%. By 2028, imports are expected to drop to 106.15 million kilograms, translating to a 20.07% decrease from 2023. This protracted downward trend indicates potential structural changes in the market or shifts in demand for kaolinic clays.
Future trends to watch include the possible impacts of new alternatives or substitutes in industrial uses, evolving environmental regulations, and potential technological advances in processing or recycling kaolinic materials. Additionally, global supply chain changes or trade policies could further influence import patterns.