The orange and mandarins market volume in the UAE experienced a fluctuating trend from 2014 to 2023. In 2014, the market stood at 208.0 thousand metric tons, increasing marginally in 2015 before dipping significantly by 10.65% in 2016. This downward trend continued, with notable drops of 36.79% in 2017 and 8.49% in 2020. Despite slight recoveries in 2018 and 2021, the overall market volume fell by 4.2% in both 2022 and 2023, standing at 114.0 thousand metric tons by 2023. The CAGR from 2019 to 2023 averaged -4.56% annually. Forecasts predict a further 20.94% decline over the next five years, landing at 85.28 thousand metric tons in 2028, with a forecasted CAGR of -4.59%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential impacts of climate change on citrus production.
- Shifts in consumer preferences towards local or alternative fruits.
- Trade policies and tariffs that may affect import volumes.
- Technological advancements in agriculture that could influence yield and quality.
