Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Drug Discovery in Vietnam

Between 2013 and 2023, Vietnam experienced fluctuations in the number of scientific publications in drug discovery. Starting from a modest 9.2 publications in 2013, the sector has seen considerable growth, reaching 38.2 publications by 2023. The annual year-on-year variations highlight a landscape that has experienced both robust growth and occasional declines. For instance, the year-on-year variation peaked in 2017 at 38.87% but also dipped in 2016 with a -9.09% decline. Over the past decade, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) ranged from 11.65% in 2023 to a high of 23.68% in 2014. For the past five years, the sector has maintained an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.35%, with an overall forecasted 5-year growth rate of 29.77% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Emerging partnerships with global pharmaceutical firms
  • Enhanced government funding for research and development
  • Increased focus on innovative technologies and methodologies in drug discovery
  • Potential regional collaborations within Southeast Asia
  • Impact of digital transformation and artificial intelligence on research outputs

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