The forecast for the UK's R&D Budget for Security indicates a significant decline from 2024 through 2028. Starting at 4.92% of total government support in 2024, it is projected to decrease consistently each year, reaching 1.72% by 2028. Year-on-year, this represents decreasing annual allocations, reflecting a broader trend of reduced investment in this sector. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average decline over the five-year forecast period, signifying a strategic shift in budget priorities.
Future trends to watch include potential reallocations towards emergent and digital security threats, and adaptations to geopolitical developments, as well as the impact of technological advancements and public sector innovation on security-related R&D funding. Additionally, partnerships with private entities and international collaborations may influence future funding dynamics.