The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications within the field of electronic, optical, and magnetic materials in Japan is projected to see a slight decline from 2024 to 2028. With a starting value of 93.77% in 2024, the forecast anticipates a consistent decrease of 0.10 percentage points annually, reaching 93.37% by 2028. Notably, in 2023, this share was observed to be slightly higher, aligning around 93.87%. This gradual decline equates to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -0.10% between 2024 and 2028, indicating a minor yet steady downward trend.
Future trends to observe include potential shifts in collaboration dynamics as younger and international researchers increasingly contribute to the field. Additionally, advancements in AI and machine learning may alter authorship roles, potentially influencing the distribution of corresponding/leading author shares.
