From 2013 to 2023, the import value of Pearls, Precious Stones, Metals and Coins to the UAE exhibited a generally declining trend, starting at USD 60.931 billion in 2013 and decreasing to USD 50.94 billion in 2023. This represents an overall reduction of approximately 16.4% over a decade. The past two years saw slight declines of 1.02% in 2022 and 1.01% in 2023 respectively. The five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) up to 2023 was -1.21%, indicating a gradual decrease in import values.
Looking forward from 2024, import values are projected to continue their decline, reaching an estimated USD 48.225 billion by 2028. This represents a forecasted five-year growth rate of -4.26%, with an average annual reduction rate reflected by a -0.87% forecasted CAGR.
Future trends to watch for include geopolitical developments impacting trade, fluctuations in global commodity prices, particularly for precious metals, and shifts in internal UAE economic policies and demand for luxury goods. Monitoring technological advancements in synthetic gemstones and economic diversification efforts will also offer insights into future import patterns.