In 2023, China's sesame seed stock variation was at -60,000 metric tons. Forecasts predict a consistent decline, with figures reaching -65,000 metric tons in 2024 and gradually decreasing to -86,000 metric tons by 2028. This indicates a year-on-year decline of around 7.1% from 2024 to 2025, and an average annual decline of about 7% over the next five years. This trend suggests a continuous reduction in sesame seed stock levels.
Future trends to watch include:
- Shifts in domestic sesame production versus imports.
- Changes in dietary preferences affecting demand for sesame.
- Government policies or trade agreements impacting sesame supply chains.