Kerosene consumption in China's industry has exhibited significant volatility over the past decade, beginning in 2013. The consumption peaked intermittently, notably in 2015 and 2018, but exhibited a general downward trend. In 2023, the consumption stood at 8.55 Ten Thousand Metric Tons, marking an 11.43% decline from the previous year and a 19.25% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) decline over the last five years.
Year-on-year variations highlight the fluctuating nature of this market, with sharp declines and occasional rebounds. Over the last two years, the downward trend continued with an 11.43% decrease in 2023 and a 9.18% decrease in 2022. Looking ahead, the forecast indicates a continuing decline, projecting a 56.45% reduction from 2023 levels by 2028, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -15.32%.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impact of alternative fuels and renewable energy adoption in reducing industrial kerosene demand.
- Technological advancements improving fuel efficiency, potentially lessening kerosene consumption.
- Policy changes and regulatory measures aimed at reducing fossil fuel usage in industrial operations.