Forecast: Alcoholic Beverages Demand in United Arab Emirates

The demand for alcoholic beverages in the UAE has shown significant fluctuations over the years. In 2023, the demand stood at 200.0 thousand metric tons, slightly declining by 1.48% compared to the previous year. Between 2014 and 2017, the market experienced dramatic changes, including a major spike in 2017 with a 168.38% year-on-year increase. This was followed by a sharp dip in 2018 (-50.41%) and steady increments till 2021. Since 2021, the trend has stabilized with minor annual adjustments and a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.02% over the last five years. Looking forward, the forecasted demand is expected to decline modestly at a five-year CAGR of -1.4%, indicating a gradual decrease in consumption.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Changes in regulations regarding alcohol consumption in the UAE.
  • Shifts in consumer preferences towards non-alcoholic alternatives.
  • Impact of tourism and expatriate population dynamics on alcohol demand.
  • Economic factors such as inflation and disposable income affecting consumption patterns.

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