The tobacco consumption in Brazil, measured by the unit of men aged 15-24 who are daily smokers, stood at 7.4 in 2023. Over the past decade, the trend has exhibited fluctuations but with a general downward trajectory. The year-on-year variations highlight significant peaks and troughs, with notable declines in years like 2014 (-11.65%), 2018 (-17.76%), and 2020 (-15.15%). The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years up to 2023 stands at -3.41%, indicating a consistent reduction in smoking rates among young males.
Looking ahead, the forecasted data suggests a continued decrease in tobacco consumption, with the value expected to drop to 6.2 by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is projected at -2.67%, translating to a cumulative reduction of 12.68% over the next five years. This indicates a persistent downtrend in daily smokers among the youth demographic.
Future trends to watch for include potential influences of stricter tobacco regulations, growing anti-smoking campaigns, and the increasing popularity of alternative nicotine products like e-cigarettes and vaping devices. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in understanding the dynamics shaping tobacco consumption patterns further.
