Forecast: Nitrogen Balance per Hectare in China

Analyzing China's nitrogen balance per hectare, we observe a gradual decrease from 2024 to 2028, starting at 26.12 kilograms and expected to decrease to 21.61 kilograms. This marks a year-on-year percentage change of approximately -4.44% from 2024 to 2025 and continues with -4.57%, -4.71%, and -4.81% in subsequent years. Given this consistent trend, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is about -4.64%, indicating a substantial ongoing decline.

Future trends to watch include advancements in agricultural practices, policies promoting sustainable farming, and any changes in nitrogen fertilizer regulations or use that could impact the nitrogen balance across agricultural lands in China. These factors could contribute to either accelerating or decelerating this downward trend.

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