In 2023, actual orange production in the US stood at approximately 2.247 million metric tons. Analyzing the forecasted data from 2024 onwards, a continuous decline is evident: 2024 (1.8792 million metric tons), 2025 (1.5113 million metric tons), 2026 (1.1471 million metric tons), 2027 (0.78658 million metric tons), and 2028 (0.42965 million metric tons).
The year-on-year percentage decline over the last two years, 2024 and 2025, indicates:
- 2024-2025: -19.56%
- 2025-2026: -24.10%
- 2026-2027: -31.44%
- 2027-2028: -45.38%
Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reveals an average annual decline of approximately -28.23%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of climate change on citrus crops, technological advancements in agriculture, and potential shifts in global demand for US oranges. Addressing challenges related to orange diseases and ensuring sustainable farming practices will be crucial for stabilizing and potentially reversing this declining trend.
