The UK's natural gas energy import dependency ratio is forecasted to increase from 57.3% in 2024 to 62.62% in 2028. This indicates a continuous growing dependency on imported natural gas. From 2024 to 2025, there is a projected year-on-year increase of 2.39%. Subsequently, the dependency grows with year-on-year increases of between 2.29% and 2.19% for the following years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is approximately 2.27% over the five-year period. In 2023, the actual dependency ratio positioned slightly lower than the 2024 forecast, highlighting a consistent upward trend.
Future trends to observe include potential impacts from geopolitical developments, shifts in domestic production capabilities, and the advancement of alternative energy technologies which may influence the import dependency ratio for natural gas as the UK endeavors to fulfill its energy needs.
