The soybean oil demand in Kenya is expected to grow steadily from 4.27 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 5.25 thousand metric tons by 2028, indicating a continuous upward trend. The year-on-year growth rates are approximately 5.9% from 2024 to 2025, 5.5% from 2025 to 2026, 5.0% from 2026 to 2027, and 4.8% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years approximates to 5.3%, showcasing a consistent increase in demand.
Trends to watch for in the future include:
- Impact of global market fluctuations and economic factors on local prices and accessibility.
- Changes in dietary preferences and health consciousness among Kenyan consumers potentially influencing demand dynamics.
- Development in domestic production capacities against import reliance, affecting supply stability and cost.
- Government policies and trade agreements that might impact soybean oil import duties and regulations.