As of 2023, Italy imported 54.178 million kilograms of shelled almonds. From 2013 to 2023, the import volume exhibited fluctuating growth, with a notable increase in 2016 (22.92%) and consistent, albeit smaller, year-on-year increases thereafter. The CAGR over the last five years (2018-2023) stands at 2.54%, reflecting moderate growth.
Key trends over the past decade include:
- 2013-2018: Period of high variability with years of substantial growth (e.g., 22.92% in 2016) and slight declines.
- 2019-2023: Steady and moderate increases with average annual growth stabilizing around 2-3%.
- Projected Future (2024-2028): The import volume is forecasted to reach 61.188 million kilograms by 2028, with a 5-year CAGR of 1.92% and a total growth rate of 9.98% over this period.
Future trends to watch include potential impacts of changing trade policies, shifts in consumer preferences toward plant-based products, and potential supply chain disruptions. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential deviations from the forecasted growth trajectory.