As of 2023, fossil energy consumption in Italy's international aviation stood at 48.12 thousand Gigawatthours. Forecasted data indicates a gradual increase in consumption over the next five years, with consumption expected to reach 52.51 thousand Gigawatthours by 2028. The year-on-year increase from 2024 to 2028 suggests a steady growth pattern, with consistent annual increases ranging between 1.85% and 1.71%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is projected to be approximately 1.80%, indicating moderate growth in fossil energy demand driven by aviation in Italy.
Future trends to watch for include the adoption of sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) that may impact fossil fuel dependency, potential regulatory changes in the aviation industry geared towards decarbonization, and technological advancements in fuel efficiency. Monitoring these factors is vital as they could shift the current forecast.
