Forecast: Paddy Rice Production in Angola

Angola's paddy rice production has shown significant fluctuations over the years. From a peak of 45.32 thousand metric tons in 2015, production declined drastically to 24.58 thousand metric tons in 2016, and further to 9.43 thousand metric tons in 2017. The downtrend has continued over the years, reaching 6.04 thousand metric tons in 2023.

The year-on-year variation over recent years highlights the continuing decline: -12.72% in 2022, and -14.3% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) also reflects this negative trend, standing at -9.03% over the past five years. Future forecasts indicate a further drop, with the production expected to reach just 0.78 thousand metric tons by 2028, and a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -30.88%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Possible policy changes and agricultural reforms in Angola aimed at reviving paddy rice production.
  • Investment in irrigation infrastructure and modern farming techniques.
  • Potential impacts of climate change on rice paddies and agricultural outputs.

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