The import of diesel-powered buses to South Africa is projected to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the import value stood at 56.929 million USD. Based on the provided forecast, the import value is predicted to fall to 55.319 million USD in 2024, which indicates a year-on-year decline of approximately 2.83% from 2023 to 2024. This declining trend continues with year-on-year reductions of 2.87% from 2024 to 2025, 2.90% from 2025 to 2026, 2.93% from 2026 to 2027, and 2.95% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year forecast period, the average annual decline (CAGR) is estimated at 2.90%.
Future Trends to Watch For:
- Shift towards electric and hybrid buses impacting diesel-powered bus imports.
- Government policies and regulations focusing on reducing carbon emissions.
- Infrastructure developments supporting alternative fuel vehicles.
- Fluctuations in global oil prices affecting the cost-effectiveness of diesel buses.