The forecasted share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in pathology and forensic medicine in Japan demonstrates a steady but modest increase from 2024 to 2028, projected to rise from 98.17% to 98.22%. This consistent upward trend reflects a marginal annual growth, suggesting that leading authorship maintains a dominant role in these fields. As of 2023, this share stood at 98.15%, indicating a slight year-on-year increase of approximately 0.02% annually over the past few years.

Future trends to watch for:

Factors driving this stable preference for local lead authors, such as societal emphasis on native expertise and training quality in Japan.
Impact of global collaborations and increasing international co-authorship, potentially affecting the ratio of corresponding/leading authorship.
Technological and methodological advancements in pathology and forensic medicine that might influence authorship dynamics.