Forecast: Hospital Discharges for Mental and Behavioural Disorders Cases in South Korea

The trend in hospital discharges for mental and behavioral disorders in South Korea from 2013 to 2023 shows considerable volatility. The peak in 2013 at a high value was followed by a significant decline in 2014, then fluctuating modestly through 2018. A more substantial drop occurred from 2019 to 2021, partly attributed to changes in healthcare practices and potential societal impacts. A large recovery spike in 2022 was followed by a slight increase in 2023, standing at 492.1 units per hundred thousand persons. The five-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 was -0.97%, indicating an overall decline in this period despite short-term recoveries.

Going forward, the forecast trend from 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual decline with a five-year CAGR of -0.68%. This indicates a continued slight decrease in hospital discharges for mental and behavioral disorders cases, with consistent annual reductions anticipated.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Changes in mental health policies and funding in South Korea.
  • Impact of societal factors such as economic conditions, social isolation trends, and per capita income changes on mental health.
  • Developments in telehealth and outpatient services as alternatives to hospital discharges.

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