Forecast: Modal Share of Passenger Cars in the Netherlands

The modal share of passenger cars in the Netherlands is forecasted to increase from 89.8 in 2024 to 90.3 in 2028. The period from 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual uptrend with year-on-year growth rates around 0.1%-0.2%. As of 2023, the modal share stood at 89.7, indicating an overall steady rise.

Over the last two years, the variation was minimal, reflecting stable market conditions. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the next five years is anticipated to be relatively low, consistent with the gradual, incremental increases projected annually.

Future trends to watch for include the influence of sustainable transport policies, the adoption of electric vehicles, and potential shifts in consumer behavior towards more eco-friendly transportation options. These factors could further drive changes in passenger car modal share beyond 2028.

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