The lifetime risk of maternal death in Nigeria as of 2023 is 5.85 units. Analyzing the historical data from 2013 to 2023, it's evident that there is a general decline, though with fluctuations. Over the last two years, from 2021 to 2023, the risk has increased by 5.04%. However, the 5-year CAGR indicates a steady annual decrease of approximately -0.46%, suggesting long-term improvements in maternal health outcomes.
From 2024 onwards, the forecasted values demonstrate a continued decline, reaching 5.68 units by 2028, resulting in a 5-year growth rate of -2.28%. Despite minor year-on-year variances, this trend shows Nigeria is expected to progress in reducing the lifetime risk of maternal death.
Future trends to watch include the effectiveness of maternal health initiatives, international aid, and improvements in healthcare infrastructure. Monitoring these factors will be crucial to maintaining and accelerating the decline in maternal mortality risks.
